Even if every poll were to reflect an accurate sampling without any stacking, Romney would probably not be ahead in them all. The Gallup poll also revealed that Romney leads Obama with a wide margin among voters in the 30-49 year age bracket. Tracking the polls in the race for the White House as Barack Obama and Mitt Romney go head-to-head in the battle for the US presidency. Gallup shows Romney gaining a point, with Obama ahead 50 to 44 percentage points. In the case of this CNN/ORC, you should take it with a huge shot of penicillin, just to be safe. There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Poll: Romney, Obama deadlocked in Fla. A new poll released Saturday shows President Obama and presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney deadlocked in the key swing state of … US - 2012 Presidential Election: Barack Obama 50% - Mitt Romney 49% - (IBD/TIPP 11/05/2012) chart & more info. This chart combines the latest opinion polls into trendlines using a poll-tracking model and is updated whenever a new poll is released. In an economy this bad, some people may wonder how he is staying afloat at all. Let us tackle the latter first, since it is much less complicated. National Polls. Mitt Romney has taken a six-point lead over President Obama in the latest Gallup national tracking poll -- his biggest lead to date and the first time he has led outside the margin of error. To enable Verizon Media and our partners to process your personal data select 'I agree', or select 'Manage settings' for more information and to manage your choices. President Barack Obama (D) won re-election by defeating former Massachusetts Gov. That leaves no more than a handful of independents. Find out more about how we use your information in our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Gallup for instance, uses registered voters. Depending on which organization is doing the polling, people can see a wide variety of things emerge on the same day. In 2012, Obama won 89.7 per cent of the toss-ups, moving from 201 in the final estimate to 332 in the results of his election against Mitt Romney. In reality, as with most bounces, it was more akin to a trampoline. That large lead was slightly smaller than that recorded by the same poll on Thursday, which gave Romney a seven point lead among likely voters. Most people know that unless you are talking about Fox News or talk radio, you're going to get somewhat of a liberal slant with your news. This is a gross mischarictarization of a huge part of the electorate which right now is favoring Governor Romney. Before it begun, several reporters were caught on a hot mic, coordinating the questions that they would ask. The daily online poll asked 990 likely voters over the previous four days which candidate they would pick if the vote took place today, with 48 percent choosing Obama and 41 percent picking Romney. No. The good news for Obama is … Republicans were also banking on national polls that were kinder to Romney than state surveys. New poll finds that Obama out-polls Romney by 59 percent to 27 percent among Jewish voters. Normally they tell you to take polls this far out ahead of the election with a grain of salt. Undersampling independents means that Romney will come across as weaker than he actually is. It has to be understood what the plan was for these reporters. See the latest estimates and poll results at HuffPost Pollster. Romney holds a double-digit lead over Obama on just one issue tested in the poll: who would better deal with the federal budget deficit. Election 2008: Obama vs. McCain and Romney Obama, McCain Tied at 44%; Obama Leads Romney by Nine. Poll Date Sample Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread; RCP Average: 4/11 - 4/26--47.8: 43.7: … And in 2008, Obama … It could be a true reflection of the difference between polls that show registered and likely voters. Rasmussen has Romney up ahead of Obama, 48 to 45 percentage points. Â. Not only did the rest of the media pile on the tone set that Romney jumped the gun, some cowardly Republicans afraid of looking like they're actually batting for their own team did as well. The Gallup poll gave Romney 51 percent compared to Obama's 45 percent. Gallup shows Romney gaining a point, with Obama ahead 50 to 44 percentage points. It could be a true reflection of the difference between polls that show registered and likely voters. In the same poll conducted in February, Obama had a nine percentage point lead. It could also be because of the fact that the federal government just filed suit against Gallup, coincidentally after an unfavorable poll. The plan was not to try and worm an answer out of Romney. Rasmussen uses likely voters, which has historically been more accurate, even if only within a point or two.Â, Many recent polls, especially those that came out after the Democrat National Convention, were amazingly skewered in President Obama's favor. The Democratic ticket received 51.1% of the popular vote, while the Republican ticket received 47.2% of the vote. Certain people would have you believe that the Obama bounce was like a Saturn V rocket, propelling the embattled president well beyond the straosphere and into orbit. Sep. 10, 2012. That would be crazy. The intent was to set the tone for the 24 hours news cycle. Check poll Headlines for the latest Presidential polls. Sadly, it worked. By Benjamin Feinblum. Electoral College. The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue collar for him to lead most polls. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida. between 35 and 40 at the most. RCP Electoral College Map Changes in Electoral Count Map With No Toss Up States The questionable CNN/ORC survey that came out September 10th? More Election 2012. Polls like this are typically divided up into Democrats, Republicans and Independents.Â, This poll showed Obama up ahead of Romney by a deafening 52% to 46%. The 2012 campaign focused on economic issues including the Affordable Care Act and job creation.The 2012 electoral map is above. Naww. Obama vs. Romney: Your guide to poll-watching. See the full poll here via the Post’s nifty graphic. The national polls, as it turned out, were not systematically biased against Republican Mitt Romney… Together, the polls contain both good and bad news for Obama's reelection chances. Share. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than 2008. Mitt Romney (R) on November 6, 2012.Obama received 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206 electoral votes, a decrease from the president’s 365 electoral votes in 2008. One thing for certian however, is that he is not doing nearly as badly as the mainstream media would have you believe. The most prominent example of this was a CNN/ORC poll released on September 10th, which showed a staggering bounce for President Obama. Obama vs. Romney on the issuesWhile none of these numbers is ideal for a president facing re-election, Obama is now tied with Romney (43 percent to … Lead is widening would probably not be ahead in them all, winning a majority of both the College. Election: Barack Obama 50 % - ( IBD/TIPP 11/05/2012 ) chart & more info 11/05/2012 ) chart more! Bad, some people may wonder how he is staying afloat at all Democrats... Out more about how we use your information in our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy lies two... 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